FULL
TEXT
(also available at http://www.number-10.gov.uk/output/Page6006.asp)
PRIME MINISTER:
I am very pleased to welcome
everyone here to Sedgefield for one of the regular press
conferences. I would like to thank the school and community
college very much for allowing us to have it here. In particular I
am pleased that so many of you have been able to see what is
happening in the constituency at the moment and see some of the
changes that are being made. There are a few stereotypes
occasionally that people have about the north east and the
northern region and I think any of you who have been around it and
seen what is actually happening here, those stereotypes are fairly
easy to knock down. I was thrilled to see, for example, the
Newcastle-Gateshead double-act named by the Newsweek Magazine as
one of the eight most creative cities in the world. Of course
there are real problems and challenges in the region, but those of
you who were with me this morning saw both the combination of
technology and new policing in the local constituency, the new
community hospital in place of the old one. This school here where
you can see all the new playing facilities, it is now a specialist
sports college, there is the big investment going into the school,
as a result of which the school of course is improving the whole
time. And my agent, who used to be the PE Instructor here at the
school, I think would be the first to tell you of the changes that
have gone on.
So really all I am saying is that
there has been a tremendous amount of change although there are
still also great challenges ahead. Just to give you some of the
facts about the north east. In the north east, unemployment is
down by a third since 1997. The New Deal has cut long-term youth
unemployment by 70%. There has been somewhere in the region of
almost £900 million of inward investment which is helping to
create or safeguard 8,000 jobs. We have got thousands more nurses
and hundreds more doctors and teachers in this region. Funding for
pupils in the north east is up by over £650 since 1997, class
sizes are down, school standards are rising. We have invested
almost half a billion pounds in improving local transport. And
according to the British Crime Survey, the north east is felt to
be one of the safest regions in the country and although some
crimes have risen in the last year, overall crime is down
somewhere in the region of 15 - 20% since 1997.
So we are proud of what we are
achieving here. The original purpose actually of having the press
conference here in Sedgefield was to try to say to people: yes
there are tremendous challenges in our public services. There is a
lot more to do, but there are real changes taking place and those
changes are taking place as a result of new ways of working, like
the private finance initiative, funding the new hospital and a
government committed to investment in the public services.
Secondly I would like to take this
opportunity on my return from the Sustainable Development Summit
in Johannesburg to thank the organisers of the summit and the
British team of Ministers and officials who worked frankly flat
out around the clock, often right throughout the night, with real
dedication and commitment to get to the issues and make sure that
we reached an agreement. And as I said there yesterday, and let me
just repeat this to you today, the role of summits like this
shouldn't be over-stated, but they shouldn't be dismissed either.
I know there has been some comment, well what do these summits
really mean, what follows through from it, but without the Rio
Summit there wouldn't have been the action on climate change that
means for example this country is reducing our greenhouse gas
emissions substantially; without the Monterey Summit in Mexico in
March of this year there wouldn't have been the massive additional
commitment to development aid; without the summit in Canada for
the New Partnership for Africa, there wouldn't have been the
additional commitment of funds for Africa, the cancellation of
debt, and one of the most exciting things that has happened
recently, there has been a whole series of conflicts, whether in
Angola or the Democratic Republic of Congo, or to an extent in
Sudan, where progress has been made. Now all of that arose out of
summits where agreements were concluded. So I think that what now
needs to happen is that we keep the agenda moving forward and push
these decisions through and make sure that the principles if you
like, the things that we determine in principle at the summit, are
actually translated into genuine change on the ground.
Now I also know, I think I would
be right in saying, that many of your questions will be on Iraq,
so I will just say a few brief words by way of introduction there.
I sense that some of you believe we have taken all the key
decisions but just haven't got round to telling you. That isn't
the case. The position is this. There is constant dialogue and
discussion. We, at every level of government, have been and remain
in close dialogue with the United States of America about this
issue, and where we are in absolute agreement is that Iraq poses a
real and a unique threat to the security of the region and the
rest of the world. But Saddam Hussein is continuing in his efforts
to develop weapons of mass destruction, that means a biological,
chemical, nuclear weapons capability, that he is in breach of
United Nations resolutions and that confronted with this reality
we have to face up to it and to deal with it. How we deal with it,
as I have said to you on many occasions, is under discussion, but
that we have to do it is not in doubt. We have to face up to it,
we have to deal with it and we will. The issue is then what is the
best way of proceeding. Now I can't promise to answer all your
questions in detail at this stage because, as I say, key decisions
are yet to be taken. But I can and do promise that as the
situation develops, the fullest possible debate will take place,
not just in the country but obviously in Parliament and elsewhere.
Finally I would just remind you by
way of opening remarks that I did draw attention to the issue of
rogue states and weapons of mass destruction literally in the
first statement I made to Parliament following 11 September last
year, pointing out that it was becoming a challenge for the
international community. I do believe that the threat posed by the
current Iraqi regime is real, I believe that it is in the United
Kingdom's national interest that the issue is addressed, just as
dealing with the terrorists after 11 September was in our national
interest, even though the actual terrorist act took place
thousands of miles away on the streets of New York, not in London.
But there are a host of perfectly reasonable questions that people
are asking about this. How could the regime be changed? What comes
after Saddam? The role of the UN. The fate of the Middle East
peace process. Relations with the Arab world. Some of these
questions can be answered now, but I repeat at present we are at
this stage, we are saying clearly that the regime of Saddam
Hussein is a threat because it is in breach of the United Nations
resolutions on the development of weapons of mass destruction, and
that those resolutions are there for a purpose and the regime and
Saddam Hussein in particular can't be allowed to get away with
that, can't be allowed to continue in breach of them. If we do
allow them to continue to be in breach of these resolutions then
they will pose a threat not just to the region but to the wider
world.
And very, very finally, I would
simply say this. This isn't just an issue for the United States,
it is an issue for Britain, it is an issue for the wider world.
America shouldn't have to face this issue alone, we should face it
together.
QUESTION:
Prime Minister, during the course
of August public opinion has apparently moved even further against
the idea of a strike on Iraq, and that is partly because people
feel there hasn't been much evidence. We have heard again and
again that there is a dossier of evidence about Saddam Hussein's
weapons of mass destruction, why haven't we got it up to now and
when are we going to see it?
PRIME MINISTER:
I think that is a good point. The
fact is whatever time lines we have been working on as leaders if
you like, it is clear that the debate has moved now. Originally I
had the intention that we wouldn't get round to publishing the
dossier until we had actually taken the key decisions. I think
probably it is a better idea to bring that forward. A lot of the
work has already been done, there needs to be some more work and
some more checking done, but I think probably the best thing to do
is to publish that within the next few weeks. And I think when
that happens that people will see that there is no doubt at all,
the United Nations resolutions that Saddam is in breach of, are
there for a purpose. He is without any question still trying to
develop that chemical, biological, potentially nuclear capability
and to allow him to do so without any let or hindrance, just to
say we can carry on and do it, I think would be irresponsible. Now
as I say, then how you deal with it is another matter. But I think
people will see very clearly both the nature of the regime and
with an addition to the evidence already there from previous
weapons inspections, which didn't account of course for all of the
chemical and biological stocks, there is a real and existing
threat that we have to deal with.
QUESTION:
Prime Minister, is it wise to deal
with the question of terror and the Saddam Hussein regime while
the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is still the concern of the
majority of the Arab people? And are you concerned at all by this
negative media campaign led by certain circles here in the UK and
the USA against Saudi Arabia?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well you know that Saudi Arabia
has been a key partner of the UK and will continue to be so and I
guess we all suffer from a bit of negative media reaction from
time to time, but that relationship is very strong between Britain
and Saudi Arabia, between the US and Saudi Arabia, and I believe
it will continue so. The other point that you make I think is a
very sensible point. Look, they are different issues in the sense
that it is important that we deal with the threat posed by weapons
of mass destruction and the breach by Saddam Hussein of the United
Nations resolutions. It is important that we deal with that and
that is a separate issue from the issue of the Palestinians.
On the other hand, I do totally
understand the feelings within the Arab world that the issue of
the Middle East peace process, the relationship between the
Israelis and the Palestinians is a key issue. That is why I have
constantly said that we should make every effort to put a proper
peace process together and get it moving forward and I hope very
much that we will do that. Because although as I say I don't think
they are connected directly, it is certainly true that many people
in the Arab world feel that we must address this issue.
I think there are many people in
Israel and many parts of Jewish opinion who also want the issue
dealt with. This is a situation that is tragic for both sides. So
I certainly believe that we should try and push forward as much as
we possibly can on the Middle East, that is my constant plea and
we will do whatever we can in order to ensure that. Because I
think the two things are perfectly consistent, there should be a
just solution in the Middle East and we should deal with the
weapons of mass destruction.
QUESTION:
One of the concerns that unites
this very wide coalition concerned about the war is the thought
that you should go to the UN to seek some sort of mandate before
conflict of any sort takes place. Why can't you give that
commitment?
PRIME MINISTER:
Look, the most important thing is
that whatever we do we do with the broadest possible basis of
support, that is clear, that is what we did in Kosovo, that is
what we did in Afghanistan, we had the international community
with us and obviously it is better to have the international
community with us again. The important thing, however, because
this is a problem for the world, is that the United Nations has to
be the route to deal with this problem, not a way of people
avoiding dealing with this problem. After all it is the United
Nations resolutions that Saddam is in breach of. So it makes
perfect sense to say that this is an issue for the international
community and should be dealt with in that way. All I am saying is
it has to be dealt with because we cannot have a situation where
people simply turn a blind eye to a situation in which Iraq
continues to develop these weapons. I will say a bit more about
that later, but you know it is worth at some point just going
through for people the history of the last 10 years and then I
think we answer the other point that I think people make perfectly
reasonably,which is why now is this a really important question.
QUESTION:
You spoke in your opening remarks
about what comes after Saddam Hussein, does that mean that regime
change, the removal of Saddam Hussein is now a British foreign
policy aim? And just specifically on the question of the United
Nations, do you believe that as things stand now, without further
provocation, that Britain would be justified in taking part in a
military attack under international law on Iraq?
PRIME MINISTER:
We haven't got to the decisions
yet on precisely how we deal with this, as I said a moment or two
ago, but be under no doubt at all that we do have to deal with it.
As I said just a moment ago, the best way of dealing with this is
with the fullest support of the international community. The
United Nations makes sense for us to deal with it in that way, but
only if it is the way of dealing with it, only if we can make sure
that the international community as a whole is prepared to face up
to the consequences of the continued breach of its own
resolutions, the United Nations resolutions, and the insistence
that Iraq comes into compliance.
Now in relation to all these other
issues, in relation to regime change, look the key objective for
us is to deal with the threat. What is the threat? The threat is
an Iraq that carries on building up chemical, biological, nuclear
weapons capability. And some of the talk about this in the past
few weeks, I have to say has astonished me. Let's just be clear
about the nature of the regime that we are dealing with. You would
think from some of the discussion that we were dealing with some
benign liberal democracy out in Iraq.
We are dealing with a regime that
routinely tortures and executes its political opponents, that
probably was responsible for up to 100,000 Kurdish people dying in
a brutal campaign in order to enforce Iraqi rule, we are talking
about a regime that was responsible for a million people dying in
the Iran-Iraq war, the annexation of Kuwait and that we know,
because this is why the resolutions are there, was trying to
develop these appalling weapons and indeed actually used these
weapons against their own people. Now the issue is making sure it
is not a threat and either the regime starts to function in an
entirely different way, and there hasn't been much sign of that,
or the regime has to change. That is the choice, very simply.
QUESTION:
We know that Saddam Hussein has an
established record for developing weapons of chemical and
biological potential, will we see in the dossier any evidence that
you have gleaned in the last 4 years that he has moved any further
down the route to nuclear weapons? And will you be moving in the
near future to meet President Bush to discuss this?
PRIME MINISTER:
On the latter point, we are in
constant discussion and have been throughout. I don't want to
comment on any possible meetings and when they might take place.
In respect of the first, obviously we will produce what evidence
we have. The important thing to realise is that there is no doubt
that at some point the Iraqi regime were trying to develop nuclear
weapons capability, that is why the actual nuclear weapons
inspectors went in there and shut down parts of their programme,
and I believe that there is evidence that they will acquire
nuclear weapons capability if they possibly can.
Now we will provide what support
we can for that, although of course the absence of inspectors
being in there means there is necessarily a limit. But I don't
think we should be in any doubt about the nature of this regime,
they will acquire whatever weapons they possibly can. And people
sometimes say, well why is Saddam uniquely a threat in relation to
weapons of mass destruction? Well one reason is that he has
actually used these weapons, he killed thousands of people in a
chemical weapons attack on his own people, and certainly they were
trying to obtain a nuclear weapons capability. I think there is
some evidence that they continue to do so, but I will return to
that at a later stage.
QUESTION:
Iran is a country in the midst of
change. A recent Interior Ministry poll done inside Iran indicated
that over 90% of the population is dissatisfied with the system,
including the current government. What are your views and do you
have a special message for those young Iranians who are simply
going out into the streets in support of freedom and democracy?
PRIME MINISTER:
I feel very deeply for people who
are in the situation of being deprived of their basic rights. I
think there are elements in Iran who want change and I think those
elements that want change it is important for us to support, and I
hope very much that the bulk, I am sure the majority of Iranian
people want to live in peace and security and in a democracy are
able at some point to secure that. As I say, we ourselves have had
links with the Iranian regime over the past couple of years where
we have tried to say why we think it is important that the
elements that are engaged in a process of change are encouraged.
I can't really say more than that
to you. Perhaps in relation to what we] were discussing a moment
or two ago though we should just reflect that as a result of the
dictatorship in Iraq the Iran-Iraq war cost many, many hundreds of
thousands of lives of totally innocent people and as it
transpired, for absolutely nothing, and I feel very sorry for
people in that predicament.
QUESTION:
Do you understand the worries of
the people in this country who hear you talking about the
development of weapons of mass destruction and fear that just
because we are such a loyal ally of America that if there were to
be an attack and we were to support it, that we would then become
a target?
PRIME MINISTER:
Look, I would never support
anything I thought was wrong out of some blind loyalty to the US.
But I want to say this about our relationship with the United
States. Again some of what I read, let's not beat - I was going to
say beat around the bush - let's not beat around the bush about
it, a lot of it is just straightforward anti-Americanism, and the
reason why I supported the United States of America after 11
September was because it was the right thing to do. International
terrorism executed its worst atrocity on the streets of America,
but that was an attack on the whole of the free and civilised
world. And America should not have to face these problems alone,
the whole of the international community has a responsibility to
deal with it. And here we have a situation again, you would think
with the debate going on in the past few weeks it was somehow us
who were in breach of the United Nations resolutions and Saddam
who was wanting compliance.
For a long period of time we have
done our best to contain that threat, though it is increasingly
difficult to do it without inspectors being back in there with a
proper regime on the ground that alters the way the regime
behaves. The Americans in raising this issue are not wrong, they
are right. And the reason why our place is beside them in
addressing this issue is not because of some misplaced allegiance
or because of blind loyalty, it is because it is the right thing
to do. And if 11 September teaches us anything, it teaches us the
importance of not waiting for the threat to materialise but when
we can see the signs of that threat in front of us dealing with
it, and how we deal with it, as I say, is an open question, but
that we have to deal with it isn't. And I don't think, again there
is all this talk about Britain and America and whether we are too
loyal towards America, to me that is a concept from people who
aren't thinking the thing through. These issues are being raised
rightly by the United States, they are raised by us too. We posed
the question - was 11 September a threat to British national
security or not? My answer to that is yes, it wasn't just a threat
to America, they could perfectly easily have done it in London, or
Berlin, or Paris or anywhere. And therefore it is right that we
respond to it together and when people attack America and say why
do they act unilaterally and all the rest of it, I actually
haven't found on these issues of security they do that at all, for
reasons again I am happy to explain in a moment.
But America shouldn't be left to
face these issues alone, the rest of the world has a
responsibility, not just America, to deal with this. And if
Britain and if Europe want to be taken seriously as people facing
up to these issues too, then our place is facing them with
America, in partnership but with America.
QUESTION:
We recently did a poll of 1,000
people in your constituency, or nearly 1,000 people, and 64%
thought you would be wrong to support an attack on Iraq, just 17
thought you would be correct. How do you reconcile what local
people are saying with the increasingly bellicose noises out of
America?
PRIME MINISTER:
I reconcile it in this way, that
when we actually get to the point of proposing a specific mission
then that is the time I think that people will really make up
their minds. And as I say at the moment I would divide opposition
to this into two quite separate groups. There is one group of
people who are the people who opposed what we did in Kosovo, who
opposed what we did in Afghanistan, some of them opposed the
previous military action against Saddam Hussein when he annexed
Kuwait.
Now those people are never going
to be in favour of it. There is then a separate group of people,
people like Donald Anderson who is the Chairman of the Foreign
Affairs Select Committee, Gerald Kaufman and others, who are
asking perfectly reasonable questions. They are saying you have
got to get the context right and the circumstances right and you
have got to provide the evidence and so on, well these are
entirely reasonable questions and those are the questions that we
obviously have to answer before we embark on any action. But at
the moment the first question of principle that has to be decided
is this, is the fact that he is in breach of these United Nations
resolutions, is the fact that he continues to develop weapons of
mass destruction, chemical, biological, potentially nuclear
capability, is that something that we have to act on? Now once
that question is answered yes then we get lots of debate about the
ways of doing it. What we can't have is people burying their heads
in the sand and saying we don't have to act on it at all.
QUESTION:
GMTV this week commissioned a poll
and in fact 71% of the British public said they would be against
British involvement in any attack on Iraq. Would you be prepared
to send British troops into the region without full public
support?
PRIME MINISTER:
Of course it is important that
before we take any action that we make the case to the public. All
I say to you is that we are not at the stage of taking that
decision at the moment. So what is happening in a way, that is why
I was saying to people earlier, and what has happened totally
understandably incidentally is that the time lines are different.
Everyone is debating this as if all the decisions were taken and
then you know they are having the debate, but actually we are not
in that position yet. The decision that has been taken is that
Saddam should not be allowed to carry on in breach of these
resolutions. And what would be interesting is if you went back to
your viewers and polled them on whether he should be allowed to
continue to be in breach of resolutions on chemical, biological
and nuclear weapons capability, whether they would reply yes or no
to that, because I suspect they would say no we have to deal with
this thing. And all that is happening is that people are then
asking as I say perfectly sensible questions about making sure
that any action we do take is effective.
QUESTION:
Could I just clarify what our goal
is in this situation. Are we trying to get the weapons inspectors
back in and is that sufficient, because as you know Dick Cheney
has been making some different remarks in America, particularly
saying the return of weapons inspectors would provide no
reassurance whatsoever. Can you clarify what we are at here? And
secondly, what you have been saying so far about the UN seems to
imply we will go to the UN if we think we will get this through,
but if there is the likelihood of a veto we will go ahead without
the support of the UN, is that correct?
PRIME MINISTER:
No, what we are simply saying is
this, that this is a problem for all the international community
and we have to deal with it as an international community and it
is him that is in breach of the United Nations resolutions and
what the UN has got to be is a way of dealing with it, not a way
of avoiding dealing with it. On the first point, however, back in
March in Crawford in Texas I made it clear that the weapons
inspectors had to go back in unconditionally, any time, any place,
anywhere, and incidentally that is precisely what the United
Nations resolutions say, they say there should be unrestricted
unconditional access for weapons inspectors. The point that Dick
Cheney and others are making, again perfectly reasonably, is
because of the way he has messed about with these weapons
inspections over a long period of time, we have to be sure that if
you put back in some regime it is going to be effective, because
this is perhaps where it is right for me to deal with the thing
that I mentioned just a moment or two ago.
I think one of the things that
really troubles people here is they say look, Saddam Hussein, it
was 10 years ago the Gulf War, why now, why is this a problem now?
And the answer to that is it is not that for 10 years he has not
been a problem, he has been a problem throughout the last 10
years. Now we got weapons inspectors back in for a time, some of
the nuclear weapons facilities were shut down, but the reason why
eventually we came to the point in 1998 if you remember when we
took military action was because the inspectors couldn't do their
work any more, they weren't being allowed access to certain
facilities, there were certain sites that we were being told they
were off-limits to, they weren't being given unrestricted access,
they couldn't do their job. That is why we took military action
then in order to destroy some of the facilities that were there
and degrade the weapons of mass destruction capability.
Since then, again this hasn't hit
the headlines, but there has been continual negotiation about new
United Nations resolutions, it was I think in May this year that
we got a new sanctions list together on Iraq. But containment of
Saddam has worked up to a point, but there is a point beyond which
it hasn't worked because the inspectors aren't in there, we don't
really know what is happening now, there are huge amounts of
stocks of chemical, biological weapons unaccounted for, and we
know that the amount of money that he is illicitly, outside of the
UN sanctions regime, getting his hands on is growing the whole
time.
Indeed I can have these figures
checked up for you, but I think I am] right in saying that a
couple of years ago we reckoned there was somewhere in the region
of $1.8 billion of illicit money coming to the Iraqi regime, we
think that is probably $3 billion illicitly now. So it is not that
this problem has as it were gone away for 10 years and now
suddenly we have decided to invent it and it has come back again,
this is a problem that has been going for a long period of time.
What has changed is one, that the policy of containment isn't any
longer working, certainly without a massive change in the way that
the regime is monitored and inspected; and secondly, we know from
11 September that it is sensible to deal with these problems
before, not after. And as we are coming up to the anniversary of
that perhaps it is something to bear even more in mind.
QUESTION:
Are there details hitherto
unpublished in the dossier that you are releasing about Saddam
Hussein's accrual of weapons of mass destruction and can you give
us some indication of what might be in there? And if that is the
case and he has continued on that process there must be a question
of time that you have left to allow the present situation to
continue. Are you attracted to the idea of imposing some kind of
deadline?
PRIME MINISTER:
It is a good question. There are
obviously issues of time in relation to it but we haven't got to
the stage of taking decisions on how you would approach this and
what the right form to do that is. But again perhaps in advance of
whatever we put out to people, I suggest people go back and look
at the published material. On the chemical and biological side, as
I say we can't be quite sure what is happening on the nuclear side
for the reasons that I gave earlier, but on the biological and
chemical weapons side there is no doubt about it, there are vast
stocks of these weapons unaccounted for by the previous weapons
inspectors.
And in addition there is real
concern that there is ballistic missile technology that they are
trying to acquire. And again what I say to people is that if this
was a regime that was trying to acquire these weapons of mass
destruction but had a record of peaceful co-existence with its
neighbours, well you might take a slightly different view, but it
is not, it is a regime that every time it is allowed out of its
box basically starts a war of aggression.
QUESTION:
Is it not the case that you are
waiting for a somewhat divided US administration to make up its
mind about whether a fresh UN resolution is needed before you
actually come out and express your own personal opinion that one
is needed. You have said several times in this press conference
that we should only go down the road of a fresh UN resolution if
it is not going to prove an obstacle, but can you name any country
in the UN Security Council which really does pose any kind of
obstacle to a fresh and workable UN resolution on Iraq being
passed?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well let's wait and see, James,
let's wait and see what happens on that front. I think we are
entitled to perhaps some trust as a result of what has happened
before. There have been two major pieces of military action that I
have been involved in, one has been Kosovo, the other has been
Afghanistan, and on both occasions not merely did we have the
fullest possible debate in all the forums that you would expect
that debate to take place, we acted with broad international
support. Now I believe it is possible to get that broad
international support again.
But of course we do have to make
sure that that support is there for doing what the international
community has already declared should be done, and it is not that
anyone is waiting for anyone to make up their mind, the principle
is basically clear, of course it is better to do this with the
broadest possible basis of international support, that is true,
but it does have to be done and we have to make sure that there
aren't people who are simply going to turn a blind eye to this
because that would be wrong and dangerous and I believe it would
be dangerous for this country. And I also think one of the things
that recent experience teaches us is that there is no such thing
now, with the possible exception of some of those terrible
conflicts in Africa that we are trying to sort out, there is no
such thing as a regional conflict that stays regional. If you
think of the issue between India and Pakistan, there was a reason
why earlier this year I spent a long period of time trying to sort
that out. It affects us. If you get a serious conflagration in the
Gulf it will affect us. The Israel-Palestine situation affects us
now, that is one of the reasons why we in my view have got to
redouble our efforts in order to get the thing put in a different
place. That is why this country's interests are engaged here. The
reason why I support America raising this issue is because I think
America is right, the reason why I supported America after 11
September is because I think it was in our country's, the British
national interest to do so, and I think it is in our British
national interest to confront this issue now.
QUESTION:
I was wondering, you were talking
about the coalition that was built last year after 11 September,
do you think that coalition is still valid, talking about the
Permanent Members of the Security Council for example, how many of
them would actually go along with supporting US, UK intervention?
And secondly if I may add, don't you think a number of European
countries think that there is a US political agenda into going to
a conflict just after the Congressional elections in America?
PRIME MINISTER:
There may be people who think that
but I totally discount it and no-one should think that. I think
actually the vast majority of people, when they go through the
steps logically, will agree. One, there is a real threat, that is
why the UN resolutions are there; two, we have to deal with that
threat; three, as I say and I said this back in March, weapons
inspectors should go back in unconditionally, any time, any place,
anywhere under a weapons inspection regime that really makes a
difference; four, if the Iraqis refuse that then we have to find a
different way of dealing with it. But I don't think you will find
many people when they really sit down and think about it that will
say it is not an issue, we don't have to worry about it, because
we do have to worry about it.
QUESTION:
Wouldn't the west claim the high
moral ground if they were to allow the weapons inspectors back
into Iraq, after all Iraq have expressed just recently their
willingness to accept them and the European Union, even the
Secretary of State, Colin Powell, has hinted recently to something
like that. And secondly, most of the leaders of the Arab
countries, including Hosni Mubarak, have just recently warned
against any military action against Iraq and he said that the
situation in the region would be worse if such an action would
take place. What assurances do you give those leaders and those
countries in particular?
PRIME MINISTER:
In relation to that latter point,
I think the real concern there is amongst many Arab countries is
to do with the Israel-Palestine situation and their worry about
that, and I think the best way of dealing with that is we try and
put that on a just and fair footing for the future.
But in relation to the first
point, the Iraqi regime know perfectly well what they have to do.
There is no negotiation about this. They have a complete and total
obligation to let the weapons inspectors back in any time, any
place, anywhere. They have had that obligation for 10 years, it is
there in the United Nations resolutions, it doesn't need to be
negotiated now. And the very worry that people have is that what
the Iraqi regime will do is they will prevaricate, they will try
and negotiate, they will try and conceal, they will do what they
have been doing basically for 10 years. Now nobody should be in
any doubt at all that if we go down this route and try to secure
the broadest international support, there is not going to be a
negotiation about the existing UN resolutions, they are going to
have to be complied with fully under a regime that actually works.
And when I hear comments from the Iraqis saying yes well we are
prepared to consider this, we will have a look at it, it is not a
question of being prepared to consider it and have a look at it,
they know what they have to do. Anyone would think, again reading
some of their public comments, that somehow they were mystified by
what the international community was demanding of them. They are
not mystified, it is there. There are 9 resolutions, there are 27
demands, they haven't met 23 of them, and each of those demands is
based on fact. You see again in 1995 I think it was when the
Iraqis started to admit the full extent of their nuclear,
biological, chemical weapons, why did they do it? Because someone
defected and started to spill the beans on exactly what they were
up to. Now we haven't had weapons inspectors in there for 4 years,
in breach of the United Nations resolutions they have not been in
there for 4 years.
With this regime that is a
situation that cannot continue. I appreciate all the difficulties,
and again I would say that looking back on the past few years, the
thing that any leader hesitates more than any other decision you
take, is if you ever commit people to military action, so it is
something you take as the last resort when it is impossible to see
any other way out. But you also know that where you are faced with
a threat and a menace you have to deal with it. Now as I say,
there is an open discussion now about how that threat is dealt
with, but it does have to be dealt with.
QUESTION:
A series of opinion polls over the
summer have showed that opinion against British involvement in any
military action against Iraq has hardened considerably. You say
you will publish a dossier within the next few weeks, you at the
same time appear to be saying there is actually not going to be
much new in that dossier. Can you here today offer one piece of
evidence, just one single piece of evidence, that might help
convince the 71% of people polled by GMTV and the Daily Mirror
earlier this week that action is necessary?
PRIME MINISTER:
The one piece of evidence is that
they are in breach of 23 of the demands that the UN has made in
respect of their weapons, chemical, biological and nuclear
weapons. The second piece of evidence is that we know that vast
amounts of chemical and biological weapons stocks are unaccounted
for. The third piece of evidence is that every time they haven't
been contained they have gone out and attacked people. The fourth
piece of evidence is that they are the only regime I know of
anywhere in the world that has actually used these weapons in
order to kill thousands of innocent people. And a further piece of
evidence to my mind which is pretty important is that you might
think faced with the threat from America and Britain and
elsewhere, you might think there could just be a reason why they
are not letting the inspection take place, and it might just be
that the reason they are not letting the inspection take place is
that the last time the inspectors were in there, they uncovered so
much that the Iraqi regime was deeply embarrassed. So with the
greatest respect, as I say, you quote me the opinion polls, I
think that if you went back and started asking people, maybe once
the evidence is there before people, go back and start asking
people again and I think people will say look if there is any
other way of dealing with this, let's deal with it in another way.
But I think you will find most people are sensible enough to
realise that this is an issue that you can't just say well we are
not bothering with it.
QUESTION:
You have talked about the lack of
support for a war in Iraq, but were you surprised by your own
agent's comments this morning that there was a lack of support in
your constituency?
PRIME MINISTER:
I am never surprised by anything
John says. No, what John was doing was saying quite sensibly that
there are people with lots of concerns, that is why I tell you we
haven't made the decisions yet. Just to go back to what we were
saying a moment or two ago, there are some people who are
completely opposed irrespective of the circumstances, those who
opposed Afghanistan, Kosovo, anything. But the other people, the
people who John was talking about, are asking perfectly sensible
questions.
How? What comes after Saddam? What
about the Middle East peace process? What about the UN? What about
opinion in the Arab world? These are sensible questions and that
is why I say we have not taken the decisions yet, except this key
decision which is the first decision of principle you have to
take, and that is a decision against inaction, against doing
nothing. And I believe that actually most people will say well no
you can't do nothing about this, and then once you are over that
hurdle then you are in a different type of debate.
QUESTION:
... a question Adam Boulton asked
earlier on, as to whether in international law it would be
permissible for action against Iraq without fresh sanction from
the United Nations. Your answer was this decision has not been
taken yet, but it is not a question of decision, is it, it is a
question of whether in principle it is actually right.
You must have been examining this
and I wonder if you have an answer. And secondly, briefly, do you
accept that in the last few weeks, for whatever reason, the tide
of public opinion has rather gone against what you have been
saying. Is publishing the evidence earlier than planned one way of
putting that right?
PRIME MINISTER:
In relation to the first, it
depends on the circumstances, that is all I am saying, but
whatever we do we will do in line with international law. In
respect of the second point, that is exactly what I am saying to
you and that is why I think it is probably sensible to bring the
evidence forward so that people can have a look at it, because as
I said to you, I think the time lines that we were working on and
the time lines that the debate have been conducted on have been
different. Well that happens in politics sometimes. But I think
that people will listen to an argument about this, I don't think
people's minds are made up, they are simply saying look if you
take as big a decision as this we need to know what is behind it,
how it is justified, what are all the various considerations. And
all I am saying to you is well that is entirely sensible and
before we take any action we will provide the answers to that. But
at the moment we are at the stage of saying let's be clear, this
is a problem for the international community and it has to be
dealt with.
QUESTION:
The last few months we have seen
international financial markets shares] down, oil up, how much of
that do you think is due to fears over both international
terrorism and a possible attack on Iraq? And as you calculate and
think about a possible attack on Iraq, how much worse could that
get do you think, what would that mean for the world economy if it
happened?
PRIME MINISTER:
I don't know how much of the
difficulties are attributable to worries about international
stability. There are obviously economic factors at play as well.
But I think there is a good point behind your question which is
the terrorism of 11 September had a big economic impact, that is
why as I say these questions may seem far away from our domestic
national interest, but actually they are intimately connected with
it. If you get a situation where there is an international crisis
and that starts affecting the economy, well that affects our
ability to build new school playing fields like this, or the new
community hospital, it affects everything. That is why I think we
have got a responsibility to deal with it, and yes if you deal
with it in the wrong way that has a negative impact, but on the
other hand if we allow a serious problem to develop unchecked that
will have a negative economic impact, so it works both ways.
QUESTION:
Inaudible.
PRIME MINISTER:
One of the things I have found
most bizarre about the last few weeks is the sight of very decent
liberal minded people lining up and saying effectively that we
shouldn't do anything about the regime of Saddam Hussein. This is
a regime that suppresses its people in the most appalling and
brutal way, that has been responsible for thousands of them dying,
and I have absolutely no doubt at all that the vast majority of
Iraqi people would love to get rid of Saddam Hussein, because what
I have found in all these situations is that most people want the
same things whatever part of the world they are in.
And I also hope incidentally in
part of the debate that develops, it would be good to hear from
some of the people who have lived in Iraq under Saddam Hussein,
there are plenty of them, there are scores, thousands actually of
refugees flooding across Europe from the Iraqi regime, go and ask
a few of them what it is like living under a regime where you are
not allowed to say anything against the government, where people
are routinely tortured and murdered and executed, where if you are
from certain tribes or certain people who might be opposed to the
regime you are subject to a brutal form of execution and
cleansing, I think we should get a bit of that out too.
As I say, I totally understand the
fact that this is an appalling brutal dictatorial viscious regime
doesn't mean to say that you have to remove it, but it certainly
makes me, I find it very odd that people can get into the
situation of not understanding that the people who would be most
delighted if Saddam Hussein went would be the Iraqi people.
QUESTION:
You have painted today a very
grave and convincing scenario for the free world of the threat
posed by Saddam Hussein. How can you therefore explain the degree
of complacency in many capitals across the world, particularly in
capitals across Europe of experienced major nations as to that
threat, and do you think Europe is in danger of not bearing, what
you talked about, its share of the burden of standing up for
civilised values?
PRIME MINISTER:
I hope Europe will. I think it is
in part because people fear that some action will be taken of a
pre-emptory nature, without any proper discussion and without
considering the consequences, that is what people fear. And what I
say to people, and I say this particularly incidentally in some of
the, I described it as anti-Americanism earlier, I think there is
a lot of that around and I think it is wrong, misguided and
dangerous. I also think that some of the criticism of George Bush
is just a parody of the George Bush that I know and work with.
The person that I know and work
with operates on these security issues in a calm and sensible and
measured way and the best proof of that is after 11 September. He
waited weeks in order to make sure that the action that would be
taken was right, he built up international support, he was firm
and determined to deal with the issue but dealt with it in the
right way. And I think a lot of the worry in opposition is that
people think well haven't they thought of this or are they just
going to rush in and do that. We are not going to do any of those
things but we are going to deal with it and we will deal with it
as democracies should deal with it, with firmness but with the
proper debate about the issues concerned.
QUESTION:
If I read you correctly vis a vis
the question of fresh UN resolutions, you are saying they either
deal with the question and the problem or it is time for a
coalition of the willing to act, this coalition as far as I can
see would include the United States, Great Britain and Kuwait and
I don't see many others. Diametrically opposed to this is your
friend the German Chancellor, and even his challengers, who say
even with a new UN resolution Germany will not be part of any
military action. So my question to you is first do I read you
right; second, what do you have to say to both German politicians?
PRIME MINISTER:
I think if you will allow me to
stay out of German politics just for a moment, it is an
interesting enough situation as it is without my intervention. But
in relation to the first point, no I am simply saying to you this.
Let us wait and see how this develops. It is of course best to do
it with the broadest possible basis of international support, but
I think that people do actually understand the issue has to be
dealt with, now I can't say more than that at this stage.
QUESTION:
I am going to risk a question on
the domestic agenda. Last month at your press conference you went
through lots of statistics showing us how you believed you were
delivering on public services, and I looked closely at those and
found out that they were English and Welsh statistics for the
Health Service. If you separate the Welsh statistics for the
Health Service from those you will see that it isn't performing as
well. Why isn't devolution working after 3 years and will you make
sure that the Health Service in Wales has the same rigorous and
auditing procedure as in England?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well it is up obviously in terms
of the auditing procedure, it is up to the Welsh Assembly and the
Welsh Executive to determine that. I think there is a lot of
change happening in the Welsh Health Service too, but different
people have different priorities. We have put a lot of focus on
waiting lists and waiting times, the Welsh Executive has a
slightly different focus on that, but on the other hand there is
no doubt at all if you look at the investment that is going in,
the changes that are happening, that it is making a difference.
And overall there is a reason why at Prime Minister's Questions
nowadays I don't get asked by the Leader of the Opposition about
waiting list indicators, that is because virtually every single
one of them is moving in a positive direction.
And all I say to people on public
services, this will be my constant plea over the next few months,
is let's have a balanced discussion. There are big challenges but
I don't think that you could look at this constituency or
virtually any other constituency in the country and say nothing
has changed. Those of you who have been around this morning will
see that there is true and visible change going on but there is
still a massive amount to do.
QUESTION:
Whilst we are on the domestic
agenda, the Fire Brigade Union has thrown back the idea of having
an independent review body to look at their pay and conditions.
Where does it go from here? Are we going to end up with a fire
brigade strike?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well I hope not. Look, the fire
fighters do a very, very good job, we can be proud of the job they
do, but no government, no government, could agree a 40% wage
claim. The first thing that would happen is the Bank of England
would start putting people's mortgage rates up, and there are the
fire fighters, but there are also teachers and nurses and other
local government workers. It would be lovely to be able to pay
everybody as much as they wanted, but we can't do that.
Now what we have done in an effort
to be reasonable is to say well look why don't we have an
independent inquiry, because after all the fire fighters have got
their own pay formula that has worked very well and they have
admitted it has worked very well over many years, precisely to
avoid disputes like this, we have said look let's have an
independent review of it to see that it is working properly. And I
think if we offer that, I can't really think it would be justified
to take industrial action because I don't think there is anybody
really who could believe that we could give a 40% wage claim
without terrible damage to the rest of the economy.
QUESTION:
Can I take you back to what you
were saying at the beginning about the north east. Last week there
were hundreds of job losses announced at the Siemens Parsons
factory in Newcastle, the latest in a long line of manufacturing
losses. Has the government given up on manufacturing industry in
the north east and if not, what exactly is being done about it?
PRIME MINISTER:
No of course not, but I think what
we have got to realise is that in today's economy, particularly in
the European economy, jobs are going to go, they are going to
change countries, this is part I am afraid of just the world in
which we live. But on the other hand there will also be many jobs
created and overall in the north east the number of jobs has gone
up, not down. Now the best thing we can provide for manufacturing
industry in the end is stability, that is the most important
thing, low interest rates, a stable economy, high levels of
skills, but there is no way we can insulate ourselves in the north
east or anywhere else, from multinational companies' decisions to
relocate, problems within the market where demands for certain
goods go down.
This is not just unique to
Britain, this is happening right across the western world and
beyond, and what we have got to do is make sure our economy is
strong enough so that if people do lose their jobs they are able
to get a new one. And you will know what happened at Fujitsu when
it closed and Siemens opened up in Newcastle, as a result of the
strength of the economy we were able to bring jobs back.
QUESTION:
Do you think that your opponent,
the Tory leader, is being hypocritical for accusing you of
dithering over the process of removing Saddam, when in fact the
previous Tory government helped to arm the dictator? And a second
question, if I may, in the dossier you are going to publish in a
couple of weeks of evidence against Saddam and so on, will you be
naming those companies which provided Saddam with chemical
components, allegedly among which there are some British
companies?
PRIME MINISTER:
In relation to the latter point,
we will publish evidence really about the regime. I am not sure
what other evidence we have in relation to that. In relation to
your first point, it sounds to me quite a strong point, you should
go and make it at his press conference I think.
QUESTION:
This goes back to Charles Reiss's
point. Don't you accept that whatever action you take, military or
otherwise, you need a majority of public and parliamentary support
and given the polls you have got a mountain to climb?
PRIME MINISTER:
Let's wait and see, shall we,
because my experience of these things is that people think about
it differently once they see the evidence, see what we are
actually proposing. As I said to you, it is perfectly
understandable why people have taken this view, for the reason I
gave a moment or two ago, they think we are going to rush in with
pre-emptory action without thinking it through, but we won't, we
didn't in Kosovo, we didn't in Afghanistan, we won't do it this
time.
QUESTION:
You keep saying that you are
trying to build the broadest international support on Iraq.
Yesterday in Johannesburg, you met the French President there, the
Chinese Prime Minister, did you talk for instance to them about
Iraq? And since we are talking about Johannesburg, are you happy
with your trip to South Africa?
PRIME MINISTER:
In respect of the first point, of
course we are in constant discussion with all the allies and what
I would say to you about the stated positions of both the French
and the Chinese government is that they both say that the United
Nations resolutions in respect of weapons inspections, weapons of
mass destruction, have to be abided by, and they are not being. We
are not at the stage of then deciding what it is we do about that,
but I think there is a very clear understanding that the Iraqi
regime are in breach of those resolutions and we can't let that
pass.
As for the summit, well I don't
know which aspect, do you mean the Mugabe aspect or generally
speaking. Generally speaking - it is the kind of questions we like
- in respect of the summit, I think the summit made significant
progress, it won't have done everything we want but I think some
of the criticism is over-played. The important thing is we are
moving in a direction, the direction is towards a new form of
development, which is a partnership, and the direction is towards
combating climate change. Now I think we have got to go further in
both respects.
I think what is interesting, and
that is one of the reasons why there are certain African leaders
who are attacking the African partnership now, because Mugabe is
one of those who attacked the African partnership, and that is
precisely because it is the right type of development, it is
development on the basis that we will help regimes that have
proper governance, proper systems of working, but we are not going
to be shelling out money to regimes that are corrupt or treat
their people badly. And that is why I think that we have got to
really push that forward. And on climate change, as I said in my
speech in Mozambique, I think the key issue, the coming issue on
this is science and technology.
What we have got to do is come
back into those arguments in a far bigger way and say look if we
really want to make a difference, because all Kyoto does is slow
the rate of climate change, if we want to start stabilising and
reducing it we have got to go for far more radical solutions and I
think the key to that lies in science and technology.
QUESTION:
It wouldn't be one of our press
conferences without a euro question.
George Foulkes at the weekend
predicted October next year as the referendum date, is he correct?
PRIME MINISTER:
He has obviously got a better
crystal ball than me since the decisions on that really haven't
been taken and the tests of course haven't been assessed yet, so
we will have to wait on that one.
QUESTION:
If there is a referendum in Sweden
on the euro before Britain, will it have any impact, the outcome,
on the British referendum do you think?
PRIME MINISTER:
I really don't know, but I think
the question is Sweden will decide its future in this and we will
decide ours.
QUESTION:
Inaudible.
PRIME MINISTER:
Lots of things I should think.
QUESTION:
There is a perception in Saudi
Arabia and many of the Arab countries that it is a coincidence
that the war on terrorism and the renewed impetus to regime change
in Iraq have come at the same time. And there is also a common
perception that this is really a war on Islam, now how true that
is debatable, but that is the perception from the Middle East and
in Saudi Arabia in particular. What can you say to reassure the
Arab world in general and the Saudi religious public in particular
that this is not the case?
PRIME MINISTER:
The idea that by taking action
against terrorists or by trying to deal with rogue states
developing nuclear, chemical, biological weapons capability, the
idea that this is somehow an act against Islam is a lie, it is
simply not true. The people that are oppressed most in Iraq, just
as in Afghanistan, are Muslims, they are Muslim people, and the
vast majority of Muslim people are decent and law abiding people
who abhor terrorism, and the terrorists of course kill many
Muslims. So I hope people really do not believe that.
And the reason why we are
concerned to take action, yes in one sense it is true that the
issue to do with weapons of mass destruction and 11 September are
linked, it is true in this sense that we knew for years that the
al Qu'eda terrorist network was in existence, it carried out many
terrorist acts, it just didn't carry out a terrorist act as gross
and as huge as the one that took place on 11 September, but
looking back on it now, if we could turn the clock back 2 or 3
years, I think most of us would say well maybe we should deal with
this terrorist network and close it down now. But we didn't, we
left it to fester. And so in that sense I think people do
understand that you have got to deal with these issues.
But that is why I said at the
beginning and I say it again, I honestly believe the thing that
troubles most people in the Arab world, and I understand this, is
the Palestinian issue, they feel strongly about it, they think
that the west is not taking it seriously enough. I think it is
important that we demonstrate that we are, because it is a
terrible situation there where there are terrorist acts against
Israeli citizens and where Palestinians are living in misery. And
just as we have a responsibility as an international community to
confront these issues of terrorism, we have a responsibility also
to deal with that situation.
QUESTION:
Can I ask you what is wrong with
the principle of deterrence? This country has faced often
countries it regards as a threat who are armed with weapons of
mass destruction, and previous Prime Ministers have believed in
the principle of deterrence, that providing they know that they
will be struck equally if they attack that that is enough. And
another principle that many previous Prime Ministers have stuck
with is the idea that if a country does not attack its neighbour
or use military force, no other country is entitled to attack it,
however loathsome we consider the regime. What has changed that
makes you think that those two principles are out of date?
PRIME MINISTER:
I agree that the fact that it is
an absolutely despicable and loathsome regime that routinely
represses and murders its citizens is not of itself sufficient
reason. But that is not all it has done. The fact is there have
been two major wars of aggression in that region in the past 20
years and they have been responsible for both of them - the
Iran-Iraq war and then the annexation of Kuwait. So that is the
reason. And we are not dealing, as I said a moment or two ago, we
are not dealing with a regime without a record, we are dealing
with a regime with a very clear record, unhindered it threatens
its neighbours with aggression and of course that is one thing
that always happens with a regime that is an appalling and brutal
and dictatorial regime, that they need constant external focuses
of attention in order to distract from what they are actually
doing within their own country.
QUESTION:
... has already in effect been
cleared, but because they attacked other countries in the past you
say that that means they have already crossed the line, we can use
military force against them?
PRIME MINISTER:
No, it simply means this, it means
that you don't approach them in the same way as you would a
country that might have weapons of mass destruction but had never
used them or never threatened its neighbours.
QUESTION:
On the euro, was Jack Straw
correct when he said that when people voted Labour they were
endorsing the principle that the euro benefits Britain?
PRIME MINISTER:
I think what he was saying is that
people were certainly endorsing the principle that if the economic
tests are passed it is right to have a referendum, because that is
what we said, it endorses no more than what is in the manifesto.
QUESTION:
Can you say how far you extend the
doctrine that you put forward today.
Are you saying that any country
which poses a threat to global security, say North Korea, that
pre-emptive action against them is justified?
PRIME MINISTER:
No, I don't think I am enunciating
any new doctrine, I am simply saying, because you have been asking
me about Iraq, this is the reason why we think it is serious. I do
believe, however, that this issue of weapons of mass destruction
and the proliferation, particularly of nuclear technology, is a
problem. I said that straight after 11 September, I do keep going
back to that so that people don't think this is suddenly something
you know we just thought about it now, and it is something I will
go back to at a later time I think in more detail, but there may
be different strategies that you adopt in relation to different
states, but to allow states of a highly unstable or dictatorial
nature to acquire nuclear weapons technology I think is dangerous
to do.
Now how you deal with that again
as I say is an open question. And again if you look at the North
Korean regime, there are some signs that it might want to change
but my goodness what a tragedy that country is, where it has a
massive nuclear weapons programme and there are people without
proper food to eat. So how you deal with this, as I say I am not
enunciating any doctrine in relation to the world in general, I am
simply saying in relation to Iraq it is different for the reasons
that I have given, that yes I do think the issue of weapons of
mass destruction in respect of other countries is also an issue,
but that is maybe for a different time.
QUESTION:
Just going back to the north east,
recent government reports confirm that the gap in GDP per head
between the north east and the south east is continuing to grow. I
would like to know what your government is doing to redress
regional economic disparities and also how you respond to claims
that as a north east MP you are not actually doing enough for your
home region?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well I would say that in respect
of the first, let's be clear the same government reports also
showed that living standards in the north east have risen
significantly, and the reason why we are trying to bridge the gap
is through policies like the Regional Development Agency, Scotland
and Wales used to have one, the north east didn't, it has got one
now, it plays a big part in it, programmes like the New Deal and
Sure Start and other programmes that combat poverty obviously have
a particular relevance in areas like this. And I think the answer
to the claim about myself in relation to this is well if you go to
this constituency and see the things that people have seen today,
I think you can see the change happening.
QUESTION:
Are you saying that the world
should do more to identify failing states before they actually
fail, they should anticipate that they are failing or rogue states
that require treatment? And could I ask you briefly about
Zimbabwe, Clare Short was identifying with the real humanitarian
problem unfolding there, but given the response yesterday by Mr
Mugabe at the conference, it doesn't sound as though he is willing
to accept international assistance. What are we going to do in
future about the unfolding problem there?
PRIME MINISTER:
In relation to the first, I am not
saying that any state that is failing you adopt a particular form
of action, least of all military action, but I am saying that
where states fail and they fail in circumstances where there are
considerable problems caused for their neighbours, it is as well
the world spends a bit of time focusing on it. And you will know
that my basic belief is that inter-dependence today is ..., that
is the problem we have to deal with, and therefore it is very,
very rare that you will get a problem that is located in one
region that doesn't spread.
Now the second thing I would say
to you in relation to Africa and Mugabe, firstly I think it is a
shame, it really is a shame, I understand why people have done it
this morning, but it is a shame if people think Mugabe speaks for
Africa. He doesn't. The vast majority of African leaders would
have totally dissociated themselves with what he said yesterday.
And this rubbish about neo-colonialism, that is merely a cloak, a
cover for what is a corrupt ruinous regime that is damaging most
of all poor black people in Zimbabwe and we should be thinking as
an international community what we can do about it, but the
trouble is the number of levers we have in our hands are limited.
But there is no doubt at all, Clare is absolutely right, there is
a potential humanitarian disaster there. And when I was in
Mozambique I saw grain being offloaded from the ship in Mozambique
for transport to Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe is potentially one of the
richest grain nations in the world, and yet because of the way he
has ruined the country it is having to import grain for its
people. It is a terrible, terrible tragedy.
And one other thing that should be
said very, very clearly, this nonsense about somehow we have held
up land reform, the money is there for land reform, he could get
that money and use it for land reform, because land reform is
necessary, at any point in time he wanted. The only demand that
has been made is the demand that it is done through the United
Nations programme in order to make sure that the money goes to the
poor people that actually need it, not into the pockets of him and
his henchmen and the other people running the show. And I don't
have any difficulty about this and I think it is a real shame.
It reminds me when I heard some of
those comments yesterday, and they were minority comments, please
believe me, the vast bulk of African leaders do not agree with
that rubbish, but it reminded me of when people on the left, with
some sort of misguided nostalgia, used to defend Ceaucescu and
people like that. It is exactly the same thing, people get
themselves into the mindset where they think that because there
was something there at some point that was worth something, that
it means you have got to defend the indefensible, and you don't,
it is a terrible thing that is happening.
QUESTION:
You said on Iraq that any decision
you take will be in British interests
and an independent decision. Can
you name any circumstances in which
you could say that you would not
support American action on Iraq?
PRIME MINISTER:
I don't think there is any point
in getting into hypotheticals. I wouldn't support anything I
thought was wrong, which is why as I say the idea that we are
acting out of simple blind loyalty is simply not the case, we are
acting and discussing it with America because it is the right
thing to do, and I am sure we will do it in the same measured way
that we have done other things with the United States. But it is
very important in this situation that America doesn't feel that it
has to confront these issues alone, it won't, not whilst we are
there to confront these issues with America in a sensible way.
QUESTION:
Firstly, just to bring Kyoto and
Iraq into one kind of question, what is going to happen to areas
of the country like Teeside that rely on oil and CO2 emissions for
the heavy industry and for their jobs, places like Teeside are
going to need some kind of support, what is going to happen with
that? Secondly, when we last went into Iraq in the Gulf War there
were problems with injections that soldiers from this area
received, Gulf War Syndrome, and in Afghanistan they had problems
with boots melting, that kind of thing, are we prepared enough to
go in?
PRIME MINISTER:
You really want to treat with a
lot of scepticism some of the stories about the equipment. The
British military is amongst the finest in the world, if not the
finest, and I can assure you they don't go into any situation
unless they are properly equipped. And what you always find with
these stories is when you actually look into them, a lot of them
are somewhat exaggerated. In relation to the first point, well
that is a serious point and that is why I say that science and
technology is very important.
Again, we need to find a way, I
had an interesting discussion with the Chinese Prime Minister on
this yesterday, we need to find a way in which we can grow
sustainably and you can't just say you know I have this grand
declaration and then put people out of work, so you need to make
sure that what we are doing is developing different and better
ways of energy production and use, and where there is some
displacement of jobs giving people alternative work, and that has
got to form part of the debate as well, which is one of the things
that I said in my speech in Mozambique.
QUESTION:
Have you taken any steps to
identify the source of this illicit $3 billion that is going into
Iraq, and is it part of your strategy?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well we know it is done through
various deals from the sale of oil. The truth is that Iraq is an
oil rich country, as you know. Beyond that I don't think I would
comment at the moment.
QUESTION:
Can I ask you a question on the
recent Elsenor (phon) Summit of this weekend. How do you reconcile
your support for the international Criminal Court with a possible
bilateral agreement to grant the Americans immunity from that
court?
PRIME MINISTER:
We are simply trying to find a way
through. We have got 11 months now to do it. I personally don't
believe that America has anything to fear from the International
Criminal Court but they have concerns that are legitimate
concerns, I don't really want to say any more about it at the
moment other than we should find a way of dealing with it. But the
International Criminal Court in the end, properly constructed and
properly done, will be of assistance to nations like the US in my
view.
QUESTION:
As the parent of four children and
a Christian, how do you cope morally with the prospect of making
decisions that could lead to the deaths of hundreds, if not
thousands, of people, often perhaps in the most horrific ways?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well you have to decide what the
greatest risk is and what the morally right thing to do is, and as
I say I have faced this twice before in Kosovo and Afghanistan.
And I hate war, anybody of any sense hates war, hates military
action, hates having to do it, but there are certain circumstances
in which it is the right thing to do. Now I am not saying we have
reached that point incidentally in relation to Iraq, I am simply
saying that in relation to Kosovo and Afghanistan we took military
action because I thought it was the right thing to do. Because you
could not allow in the case of Kosovo ethnic cleansing and
genocide to happen right on the doorstep of Europe and do nothing
about it; because in the case of Afghanistan you couldn't allow a
failed state to export terrorism around the world.
But the terrible thing about
conflict and war is that innocent people die as well as guilty
ones, that is the tragedy of it, it happened in the Second World
War, it happens in any war that ever takes place, which is why you
should only do it conscious of the responsibility, but I only do
it in those circumstances. But I tell you, I would also feel, if I
was not to confront this issue now and let us say that Iraq
obtained either a nuclear weapons capability or developed
ballistic missile technology with chemical and biological weapons,
and they did that and then they used those weapons and I thought
back and could have done something about it, then that would be
something on my conscience too. So I am afraid these decisions are
not very easy and you have got to do in the end what you think to
be right. But I wouldn't commit people to military action unless I
thought it was the right thing to do.
QUESTION:
No other EU leader seems to be as
willing as you are to consider military action against Iraq. Does
it worry you that you seem to be out on a limb? And secondly, do
you share President Bush's view that Iran as well as Iraq is part
of this axis of evil?
PRIME MINISTER:
Well I think there are real issues
in relation to Iran, as I was saying in respect of the question
earlier, but you can adopt different strategies to the different
countries. But you can't ever take decisions like this unless you
do do what you think is right. And I think, I just want to say
this, I want to say it gently but I want to say it firmly, there
is a tendency for the world to say to America the big problems of
the world are yours, you go and sort them out, and then to worry
when America wants to sort them out. And I think it is better that
we confront these issues together as partners of America, and I
think that is so for Britain, I think that is so for the rest of
Europe too, and you should just analyse it.
And as I say, the question that
should be put right round the world at the moment is, can you
afford to allow Saddam Hussein and the Iraqi regime, knowing what
we know of them, knowing how many hundreds of thousands of people
they have killed, can you allow them to carry on developing
biological, chemical, potentially nuclear capability. If the
answer to that is no, then let's have a debate about the right way
forward, but let's answer that question first. Because what I say
to you is the policy of containment as it exists now can't
continue indefinitely, it simply can't. And the absence of any
proper regime of inspection or monitoring means that the regime is
effectively allowed to develop these weapons without any let or
hindrance at all, apart from what we can do through a sanctions
regime that as I said to you is not fully watertight by any means.
QUESTION:
I am glad you have asked me
because I want to pass on a question from William Sumners, one of
the listeners of Five Live, I don't know if it portrays anything
about your intentions towards Iraq, but if you could choose any
person in modern history to put in your government, without
offending anyone who is currently there, who would that person be?
PRIME MINISTER:
I don't know, it depends what
position it was for. So I am sorry about that, I will need to
think about it. These are all the types of questions that you
answer and then you spend most of your time afterwards regretting
your answer.
QUESTION:
Do you wish that Saddam Hussein
had been dealt with earlier, and do you express any regret that he
was ... by other western countries, including Britain?
PRIME MINISTER:
You can always go back and revisit
decisions that were taken at the time, I am sure they were taken
for good reasons actually, and I know there was a lot of pressure
on people at the time, but I am not sure how productive it is. It
certainly was a mistake for the west ever to back Saddam, but it
is easy to say that in retrospect.
QUESTION:
On the question of weapons
inspectors and the deadline, our friend from ABC asked you this
question and you seemed to duck it, yet it is the Foreign
Secretary who has flouted this idea himself in recent weeks as
being a way through, a breakthrough. Is it still in serious
consideration as far as this government is concerned, setting a
clear deadline?
PRIME MINISTER:
It wasn't so much a question of
ducking it, it was simply saying we haven't decided it. Obviously
these are the questions that we do have to decide. The issue is
whether we want to go for the broadest possible basis of
international support, the issue is getting a proper inspection
regime back in that Saddam Hussein and the Iraqi regime can't play
about with, and yes time is pressing, but beyond that I can't go
at the moment.
QUESTION:
Maybe you have commented on these
issues before but I haven't heard you. I would like to ask you to
comment on three points. Will you stop trading with Israel, the
military trade between Britain and Israel, in light of the current
situation? Will you bring the debate on the death penalty after
the tragic murder of ...? And recently there was an important
official visit by a British Minister to Tripoli, is ... now the
good boy of ...?
PRIME MINISTER:
Dealing with them very quickly,
there is no change in our policy in respect of Israel at all and
whatever military help we give is within very well defined limits.
In relation to the death penalty my view hasn't changed. In
relation to Libya I think it is right that in the wake of the
progress that has been made in sorting out the aftermath of
Lockerbie that we begin relations with Libya. I hope very much
that Libya comes into the full community of international
relations, I hope that that is the case. And again as I would say,
there are concerns that we have as a result of the past but I am
perfectly prepared to extend the hand of partnership on terms that
people recognise and have got to be fully compliant with being a
responsible member of the international community and that is why
I authorised the visit by the Minister there.
QUESTION:
There is one ambiguity in what you
have been saying about Iraq which seems to go absolutely to the
heart of a lot of international concern. On the one hand there are
those people who say let the inspectors get back in, put the
pressure on the Iraqis to do that, and that can sort of settle
this; and on the other hand, particularly from America, there is a
very strong view that this regime is so vile, so evil and so
unstable that really so long as it is there it is never quite
settled. Now what you have been saying today you seem to me to
tilt more towards that second view, that really you are very
sceptical about letting the inspectors back in and then saying
fine, we have sorted out Iraq, that this is not that kind of
situation?
PRIME MINISTER:
I think that is a good point, but
the way I would reconcile those two positions is to say this, that
my statement back in March was the inspectors go back in any time,
any place, anywhere, that remains the case. That is not
inconsistent with saying, however, we have to make sure that that
inspection regime actually does take place in that way.
QUESTION:
Inaudible.
PRIME MINISTER:
If you were able to be sure that
the problem, which is weapons of mass destruction, was going to be
dealt with through this UN inspectors route, then that is another
issue and that is what we have said right the way through, which
is why when people have said to me well if they do let the
inspectors back in any time, any place, anywhere, does that make a
difference. Of course, but you have to be sure and this is the
point that Americans are making, perfectly rightly, in the light
of the past record of Saddam Hussein mucking about with weapons
inspectors, hindering them, restricting them, not letting them in
unconditionally, it has got to be a pretty good regime that you
need to be sure is then implemented. And it is not enough to pass
the resolution, you also have to follow it through, so that is the
point.
And I think that the real issue is
whether we can secure sufficiently strong international support,
that you can make sure that anything that happens in Iraq is going
to deliver what has to be delivered, which is a reduction of the
threat of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons from a state
that has had no hesitation in using weapons of mass destruction in
the past.
Now that is the issue for us and
that is why I think the right way of proceeding, as I have said to
people right from the very beginning, ask the first question, is
there a threat that we can simply turn a blind eye to, despite the
breach of all the United Nations resolutions. If the answer to
that is no, we have to deal with it, then let's work out the right
way of dealing with it. But it is perfectly understandable if in
the light of previous experience that people will look with a very
sceptical eye as to whether any regime could be successful, but
that is not to dismiss it. |