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Unofficial
Communiqué - back issues, 1998 (a) |
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STRANGE
CASE OF THE DISAPPEARING PRIME MINISTER APRIL
26: The Prime Minister, Mr ...er... Dr ...er... sorry, it's so long since his
name was mentioned in an official bulletin. Anyway, he's now back in Yemen. Readers with
good memories will recall that some weeks ago Dr Faraj bin Ghanim flew to Geneva,
ostensibly for a medical check-up, without fixing a date for his return flight.
Meanwhile rumours (officially denied) suggested that he
had offered his resignation before leaving the country. Allegedly there was an argument
about a cabinet reshuffle, with Dr Ghanim wanting to sack three ministers and the
President resisting.
There is also the simmering issue of state subsidies on
wheat and flour, which are supposed to be abolished this year as part of an IMF/World Bank
economic package. Some members of the cabinet are understandably nervous about this
because efforts to remove state subsidies have led to riots in the past. Last October,
when the price of diesel went up by 67% to please the bankers, armed tribesmen and farmers
barricaded roads on all sides of Sana'a for several days. The World Bank, meanwhile,
argues that bread subsidies actually do little to help the poor because most of the money
is creamed off by middlemen.
Dr Ghanim's temporary absenteeism is a familiar form of
protest in the upper echelons of Yemeni politics. During the 1970s, President Abd
al-Rahman al-Iryani went into self-imposed exile until opponents allowed him to sack his
disastrous prime minister, Abdullah al-Hajari. More recently, the unlamented
vice-president, Ali Salim al-Baid, turned political absenteeism into an art form.
Dr Ghanim is a 57-year-old economist from Hadramaut. His
appointment, following an overwhelming victory by the General People's Congress (the
president's party) in the 1997 elections, came as a surprise because Dr Ghanim is an
independent. He was once a leading figure in the southern Socialist Party and is credited
with the economic opening that began in the People's Democratic Republic before
unification with the north in 1990.
His appointment was seen partly as a move to appease the
south after its defeat in the 1994 war of secession, but also won approval in the north.
He is regarded as a man of integrity (a quality sufficiently unusual among Yemeni
politicians to arouse comment).
However, the fact that he is not a member of the northern
political establishment has caused problems. After only two months in office, according to
the Aden newspaper, al-Ayyam, he was showing frustration at the way some of his
instructions were ignored.
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TROUBLE
IN HADRAMAUT APRIL 27: Two
protesters were killed and several people injured - including three policemen - during a
demonstration in Mukalla on April 27. More than 2,000 people reportedly took part in the
protest against the death sentences on southern leaders who were recently convicted of treason for their part in the 1994 secession
attempt. All those sentenced are currently abroad. Both the Socialist Party and the League
of the Sons of Yemen were involved in the protest. The League said security forces had
tried to prevent the demonstration by surrounding the party's office and the homes of its
local leaders on Monday morning.
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MURDER
AT THE MOSQUE APRIL 29: Two
people died and 27 were injured in an explosion as they left al-Khayr mosque in Sana'a
after Friday prayers on April 24. The mosque, in the Bir 'Abid district, is known for its
links with fundamentalism.
According to al-Ayyam newspaper, Sheikh Muqbil al-Wada'i
and his religious opponent, Abd al-Majid al-Rimi, have been waging an "audio
war", circulating accusations against each other on cassette. (Cassettes are often
used for religious and political propaganda in Yemen because of the high illiteracy
rates.)
Earlier this year (February 28), a bomb exploded at
al-Rahman mosque in Mansoura, where Sheikh al-Wada'i was delivering a sermon. Those
injured in the latest blast included a number of foreigners: Libyans, Somalis and two
American passportholders of Arab origin. There was also a Canadian, Shakir Chargall, who
is thought to be a western convert to Islam. He was reportedly engaged to a Malaysian
woman and planning to marry in Sana'a.
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VETERAN
AT THE HELM APRIL 30: Dr Abd al-Karim al-Iryani, the new Prime Minister,
is one of Yemen's shrewdest and most experienced politicians, having served as a
government minister almost continuously since 1974, first in the Yemen Arab Republic and
later in the unified state.
He was born in 1934 in the village of Iryan in the central
highlands, to a one of Yemen's most prominent families. His uncle, the late Abd al-Rahman
al-Iryani, was president of the republic during the early 1970s.
Before entering politics, Abd al-Karim al-Iryani studied
biochemistry and genetics in the United States where he obtained a doctorate at Yale
University. He still takes an interest in the subject and once, during an official visit
to Britain, made a special journey to Cambridge University to see the place where DNA was
discovered.
Regarded as a technocrat, he has held a variety of
government posts, including Agriculture Minister, Planning and Development Minister,
Education Minister and Prime Minister. He is a member of Yemen's largest political party,
the General People's Congress.
He is considered one of President Ali Abdullah Salih's
closest advisors and played a crucial role in developing the north's political strategy
before and during the civil war last year. It is perhaps not surprising, therefore, that
in his spare time he is also an excellent chess player.
(See The role of the
state in a traditional society by Abd al-Karim al-Iryani)
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WHY BIN
GHANIM RESIGNED APRIL 30: For
most of his eleven-and-a-bit months as Prime Minister of Yemen, Dr Faraj bin Ghanim was
not a happy man; he regularly complained about the way his plans were thwarted. A few
weeks ago he flew to Geneva without fixing a date for his return flight. Officially, the
trip was for a medical check-up - an explanation which nobody believed, though its
symbolism was clear. The Prime Minister was sick of his job. The customary polite wishes
for a speedy recovery were noticeably lacking and Dr Ghanim's name vanished from
government news bulletins.
On April 24 he returned to Yemen but meetings with the
President, Vice-President and others failed to resolve the problem. On April 29 the weekly
cabinet meeting was suddenly cancelled. The entire government has now resigned and Dr Abd
al-Karim al-Iryani (previously deputy prime minister and foreign minister) will head a
caretaker administration, at least until mid-May.
The central issue was a dispute between the Prime Minister
and President Ali Abdullah Salih about cabinet changes. When Dr bin Ghanim was appointed,
he insisted that all ministers should face a "performance review" after 12
months, and the President agreed to this. Since then, Dr bin Ghanim has made no secret of
his desire to sack three or four ministers in a cabinet reshuffle. The President insisted
that this must wait until the annual review became due in mid-May, but the Prime Minister
wanted the changes to take place earlier.
On the surface, the dispute seems a small one and may be
just a symptom of more serious underlying problems in the relationship between the
President and his ex-Prime Minister. It is also possible that Dr bin Ghanim's eagerness to
reshuffle the cabinet early is related to a deadline set by World Bank and the
International Monetary Fund. The bankers have given Yemen until the end of April to show
progress in its economic reform programme. As part of the package agreed with the bankers,
state subsidies on wheat and flour are supposed to be abolished this year.
Some members of the cabinet are understandably nervous
about this because efforts to remove state subsidies have led to riots in the past. Last
October, when the price of diesel went up by 67% to please the bankers, armed tribesmen
and farmers barricaded roads on all sides of Sana'a for several days. The World Bank,
meanwhile, argues that bread subsidies actually do little to help the poor because most of
the money is creamed off by middlemen. Dr Ghanim's absence over the last few weeks was the
latest example of a form of protest which has become familiar in the upper echelons of
Yemeni politics.
During the 1970s, President Abd al-Rahman al-Iryani went
into self-imposed exile until opponents allowed him to sack his disastrous prime minister,
Abdullah al-Hajari. More recently, the unlamented vice-president, Ali Salim al-Baid,
turned political absenteeism into an art form. Dr Ghanim is a 57-year-old economist from
Hadramaut. His appointment, following an overwhelming victory by the General People's
Congress (the president's party) in the 1997 elections, came as a surprise because Dr
Ghanim is an independent. He was once a leading figure in the south and is credited with
the economic opening that began in the People's Democratic Republic before unification
with the north in 1990.
His appointment was seen partly as a move to appease the
south after its defeat in the 1994 war of secession, but also won approval in the north.
He is regarded as a man of integrity (a quality sufficiently unusual among Yemeni
politicians to arouse comment). However, the fact that he was not a member of the northern
political establishment caused problems. After only two months in office, according to the
Aden newspaper, al-Ayyam, he was showing frustration at the way some of his instructions
were ignored.
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ALL
CHANGE ... NO CHANGE MAY 17: Yemen's
latest government, announced on May 16, has a new man at the top but, apart from that,
little has changed. Four ministers have swapped places and there are three newcomers. At
that rate, assuming a reshuffle every 18 months or so on average, it will take 15 years to
get a complete change of personnel.
Dr Iryani,
the new prime minister, is a cautious man but also a canny politician. His government
faces serious problems with the economy and internal security - as witnessed by the recent
kidnappings. In the past, Yemeni governments have been dogged by internal squabbles which
often prevented them making decisions, let alone taking action.
Inevitably, one of Dr Iryani's priorities will be to
maintain cohesion among ministers. The trouble with Grand Solutions is getting people to
agree to them. So, in the run-up to next year's presidential election, the emphasis is
likely to be on modest (and perhaps achievable?) reforms rather than radical change.
The rising star of the new administration is Abd al-Qadir
Bagammal, a former Socialist minister in the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, who
later joined the General People's Congress. As Minister of Planning and Development in the
outgoing government, he worked hard to reduce Yemen's foreign debt and increase aid. He is
promoted to Foreign Minister.
(See The role of the
state in a traditional society by Abd al-Karim al-Iryani)
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TROUBLE
ON THE BORDER JUNE 3: On
May 24-25 Saudi forces moved into a Red Sea archipelago which is also claimed by Yemen. At
least seven islands, just over 100km west of Midi, are involved.
According to the Yemeni opposition newspaper, al-Jamahir,
the Saudis landed on a small island which was undefended by Yemeni troops and cleared off
the eight fishermen they found there. Within 12 hours they began erecting pre-fabricated
buildings and installing military positions.
The newspaper said they had also occupied a second island
in the group and were seeking to evacuate inhabitants from the remainder as a precondition
for talks with Yemeni officials.
Geographical names in the area often have several
variations. Al-Jamahir (May 28) named the occupied island as "Dhu-Hurab", while
the Palestinian newspaper, al-Quds al-Arabi (May 26), referred to it as
"Huraym". This is probably the archipelago marked on some maps as
"Duharan".
Yemen and Saudi Arabia have been at loggerheads over the
border for more than 60 years. Only a small part of the frontier has ever been defined [click here for background]. The agreed portion
of the land border ends at the Red Sea about 5km north of Midi. Yemen maintains that a
north-westerly bend in the line just before it reaches the sea indicates that the maritime
border should continue in the same direction. The Saudis, on the other hand, prefer to
draw the line in a westerly direction, giving them more of the Red Sea. By occupying these
islands, which are south of Yemen's preferred line, the Saudis are staking a claim to
their own projection of the maritime border.
One possible factor in the renewed tension is the choice
of Abd al-Karim al-Iryani as Yemeni prime minister - since he is disliked by the Saudis.
The customary congratulations on this new appointment were not forthcoming from Riyadh.
Saudi Arabi has also informed the United Nations that it
does not accept the border agreement signed by Yemen and its eastern neighbour, Oman, six
years ago. In a memorandum to the UN General Secretariat last April, the kingdom suggested
that it might have a claim to some of the territory covered by the Yemeni-Omani agreement.
The move has surprised some diplomats because Riyadh did
not formally oppose the border settlement in 1992. It may be linked to the Saudis' desire
for an oil corridor to the Arabian Sea, between Yemen and Oman.
Recently Prince Sultan bin Abd al-Aziz, the Saudi Defence
Minister, paid an inspection visit to the border province of Najran, which Yemen ceded to
the kingdom under the Treaty of Ta'if in 1934. Many Yemenis regarded the prince's visit as
provocative.
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AN
UNFORTUNATE INCIDENT JUNE 3: It
is a well-known fact - though rarely discussed - that not all the prisons in Yemen are run
by the government. We are not talking here about the sort of prisons they have in the
United States, where the task of looking after prisoners is contracted out to private
companies. We are talking about prisons owned and run by individuals for their own
purposes.
It was in one of these prisons that Sheikh Mansur Bakhtan,
a prominent tribal elder, died in May. He had been detained there by Sheikh Abdullah
al-Ahmar because of a land dispute. The reason why Sheikh Abdullah owns a prison is
understandable, up to a point. He is paramount chief of the Hashid confederation - which
makes him the most important tribal leader in Yemen.
The government's control of tribal areas is minimal, and
where state law has no influence tribal law takes over. There are parts of the country
where tribal law actually maintains order more effectively than state law - and sometimes
dispenses justice more fairly.
We know that Sheikh Abdullah is kind and generous
towards his friends: he recently entertained the visiting leader of Hamas to a magnificent
banquet.
We trust that as leader of Yemen's foremost
religious party he is also merciful towards his enemies.
But Sheikh Abdullah is more than a traditional tribal and
religious leader. His role as Speaker of the House of Representatives means he is also a
modern statesman. Because of this, we are confident that conditions in his prison are at
least as good as those in the state prisons. (It would not, in any case, take much effort
to make them a great deal better.)
For all these reasons we are sure that when the time comes
Yemen's most distinguished jail-keeper will be happy to unlock his doors for inspection by
Amnesty International or organisations of similar standing.
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ECONOMY
BLOWN OFF COURSE JUNE 6: The
economic crisis in Southeast Asia and the slump in oil prices are taking their toll on
Yemen's fragile economy. According to the new government's programme, presented to
parliament on June 1, lower oil prices caused a drop in foreign revenue to $236 million in
January-March, compared with $378 million in the same period last year. The deterioration
is expected to continue.
"These developments led to slowness in completing
price reforms on schedule and a rise in the general budget deficit in a very dangerous
way," the statement said. "The real deficit at the end of April 1998 reached
36.2 billion riyals ($280 million) while the planned deficit for the same period was
estimated at about 4.4 billion riyals."
Originally, Yemen's budgeted deficit for the whole of 1998
was 13.5 billion riyals, based on revenue of 336.6 billion riyals and expenditure of 350.1
billion. This looks likely to be greatly exceeded.
The government's programme promises continuing economic,
financial and monetary reforms, together with "a comprehensive nationwide programme
for administrative, employment and legal reforms." It also promises tough action to
combat kidnapping and further efforts to resolve the border dispute with Saudi Arabia.
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JOURNALISTS
ACQUITTED JUNE
7: Three members of a BBC television team, charged contravening Yemen's press
law, were acquitted on June 7. The verdict - which was announced amid cheers - is a
significant landmark for press freedom in the country.
The team - Rajih 'Umar, Robin Barnwell and Frank Smith,
who work for the documentary programme, Correspondent - were arrested on May 26 as
they returned to Sana'a after visiting the Bani Dhabyan tribe to interview Sheikh Mubarak
Ali Saada, responsible for kidnapping four
Britons during the last few months. They had earlier been told by the Ministry of
Information not to go to the area, and the British Embassy had also reportedly advised
against the trip.
The case was viewed in the west (and by some Yemenis) as a
straightforward matter of press freedom. The team had entered Yemen legally and were
simply doing what, in many countries, would be normal journalistic work. They even
informed the Information Ministry of their plans. But behind this lay a complex legal and
political muddle. In the first place, there was a difference of opinion between the
Information Ministry and the Interior Ministry.
The Information Ministry had warned the journalists that
the area they planned to visit was dangerous and the authorities could not guarantee their
safety. The journalists replied that they would look after themselves. There was no
evidence that they were actually forbidden to make the trip. A different argument came
from the Interior Ministry which, among other things, is responsible for keeping the
wilder tribes in order and preventing kidnappings - though generally with little success.
For several months, Yemen has been under intense
international pressure to stop the kidnapping of foreigners. In the Interior Ministry's
view, the journalists had exposed themselves to the risk of kidnapping in order to
interview a sheikh. If, instead of granting an interview, he had decided to take them
hostage, Britain would have been pressing the Yemeni government to get them released.
In court, Judge Haikal Ahmed Othman said: "Yemen
believes in the freedom of the press, and the press is a necessity in this age. The world
has become a village as a result of advanced technology and information." The
prosecution claimed that the journalists had broken the law by not informing the
government of their plans. But after viewing the confiscated tapes, the judge said:
"The authorities were aware of their presence and the films they shot did not insult
the government or the Yemeni people."
He ordered the tapes and other equipment to be returned to
the journalists, who are now expected leave for Britain to edit their programme.
Afterwards, the defence lawyer, al-Sheik Tareq Abdullah, said: "I'm very proud, not
only because I won the case but because this case is historical. This is a victory for
Yemen and the Yemeni people."
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RISING
DEATH TOLL IN RIOTS JUNE 30: Yemen's
long-awaited price rises have brought the long-predicted riots - with an unconfirmed death
toll of more than 50. On June 18, after much hesitation, the government finally decided to
implement the latest phase of the World Bank/IMF economic restructuring package which was
agreed in 1995. The increases are:
Petrol......... up 40% to 35 riyals ($0.27) a litre
Kerosene....... up 15% to 15 riyals a litre
Cooking gas.... up 25% to 200 riyals per cylinder
Wheat.......... up 35% to 900 riyals per 50 kg (110 lb)
Flour.......... up 35% to 1,330 riyals per 50 kg
The increases - intended to remove state subsidies on
basic goods - were originally scheduled for earlier this year but delayed because of
disputes within the government and general nervousness about the likely response from the
public. It is thought that the previous prime minister, Dr Faraj bin Ghanim, opposed the rises, and they are
being implemented now as a result of his resignation and the appointment of Dr Abd al-Karim al-Iryani to replace him.
The government also faces worsening budget
problems.
Increases in bread prices are always an emotive issue and
provide an obvious focus for opposition parties across the political spectrum. But the
government has also had plenty of time to plan the announcement and make security
preparations. To soften the blow (and perhaps to help maintain order) the salaries of
government officials and military personnel are being increased by 15%.
The rises were widely condemned in sermons during Friday
prayers. One preacher referred to the World Bank as the "Bank of Death", while
others urged the government to ignore "the instructions of the people's
enemies".
On June 20 there were reports of large demonstrations in
Sana'a. About 500 protesters marched along the Ta-izz road leading from Bab al-Yemen;
rubbish, tyres and a car were set on fire. In Tahrir Square police used teargas to
disperse the crowds, and also fired shots into the air to break up a protest on Zubairi
Street, the main thoroughfare. After an emergency cabinet meeting the government said it
would not reverse the changes.
The demonstrations continued on June 21, with police
patrolling Sana'a in armoured vehicles. According to the Yemen Times, unrest in Dhamar was
far wider and fiercer than in the capital, with violent confrontations between police and
protesters, and looting of shops and public buildings. The newspaper reported that 160
people had been arrested in a security clampdown, though the Interior Ministry said later
that those arrested had been released. The Yemen Times also carried a photograph of an
empty teargas canister, showing an expiry date of April 1987.
An opposition group, the Supreme Independent Student
Committee, said on June 22 that one demonstrator had been killed and a number of others
injured during the protests. Sana'a University was reportedly closed. According to
unconfirmed reports, police used live ammunition in Ta'izz on June 22. One person died
there, and three were injured. In Ma'rib, three died and seven were injured. On June 23,
six people were reported to have been killed in Marib.
In fact the death toll was considerably higher, and this
became clear on June 28 when 21 soldiers killed in the north-eastern region were buried at
a martyrs' cemetery in Sana'a. At least 13 of the soldiers had been killed around Ma'rib
in clashes with tribesmen involving guns and rocket-propelled grenades on June 26. The
tribesmen had blockaded the road which carries fuel from the local refinery to the
capital, but it was reportedly cleared by troops using tanks. Other soldiers apparently
died in separate incidents during the previous few days. Estimated casualties among the
tribes range between 20 and 30 dead.
Sana'a was quiet on June 26, with a large security
presence around the mosques where sermons at Friday prayers had inflamed opinion the
previous week.
On June 29 Hunt Oil denied a report one of its pipelines
had been blown up. The company said its pipeline, which carries about 150,000 barrels per
day from Marib to Ra's Isa on the Red Sea, remained in operation despite small leaks
caused by bullet holes. The pipeline would be shut down for a few hours to carry out
repairs later in the week. A spokesman said: "The volume of oil which has leaked is
too small to be measured accurately with the checkmeter on the pipeline."
About 3,000 people attempted to hold a demonstration in
al-Houta (Lahj province) on June 29. Police wielding clubs dispersed the demonstrators and
at least 21 people were arrested.
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There was serious
trouble last October when diesel prices were raised as part of the same
financial package. Then, major roads on all sides of the capital were blockaded and
tankers from Ma'rib were held up for several days.
The World Bank argues that removing subsidies ought to
have little effect on the average consumer because they brought little benefit in the
first place. The money, they say, was usually creamed off by middle-men.
Already there are reports that some bus fares have doubled
- suggesting that businesses will use this opportunity to raise prices by more than is
strictly necessary.
The government has prohibited the holding of further
demonstrations without permission. Opposition parties are threatening to test the
government's resolve by defying the ban shortly.
Blame for much of the trouble is attributed to Islah, the
conservative/Islamist Islah party, which has announced that its goal is to bring down the
Iryani government. But the view among opposition parties of all complexions is remarkably
similar: that economic reform will not work without political reform and the elimination
of corruption. One party has called for a high tax on the popular drug, qat, in order to
keep food prices down.
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PIPELINE
UNDER ATTACK JULY 14: Relations
between the state and tribes in the north-eastern border provinces of Ma'rib and al-Jawf
have always been fragile, and since steep price
increases were announced in June at the behest of the IMF, security forces in
the area have clashed repeatedly with the Jahm, Jida'an and Alaiwah tribes.
In the past, tribes with a grievance have resorted to
kidnapping foreigners, especially in Ma'rib. But now they have latched on to another, more
permanent hostage: the pipeline that carries almost 40% of Yemen's oil production to Ra's
'Isa on the Red Sea. On July 10 they blew another hole in the pipeline near Sirwah - the
seventh since the trouble began. So far, both the government and the Hunt Oil Company
which operates the pipeline, have played down the damage. After an earlier attack, a
company spokesman referred to small leaks caused by bullet holes and said: "The
volume of oil which has leaked is too small to be measured accurately."
However, recent reports have put the spills at more than
20,000 barrels and, according to the Yemen Times, the total cost of repairs will exceed $1
million. One spill has been burning for days because the area is thought too insecure for
an attempt to douse the flames and repair the leak. Although the 350-km pipeline is vital
to the country's economy and important (via Hunt Oil) to Yemeni-American relations, it is
virtually impossible to protect. If the damage is indeed relatively slight, this is
probably only because the tribes have so far attacked it with guns and grenades rather
than more powerful explosives.
With the vulnerability of the pipeline - as well as its
political and economic significance - exposed, the government faces a long-term problem in
its relations with the tribes whose territory the oil passes through. President Salih's
initial response has been to place a more ruthless army commander in the area, though
historically the only effective way to deal with the tribes has not been to control them
but to reach an accommodation. At present the omens for that are not good either: last
week Sheikh Mohammed al-Zaidi of the Jahm tribe returned to Ma'rib after the failure of
negotiations in Sana'a.
Yemeni officials have blamed both the Saudis and the
opposition Islah party for fomenting trouble in Ma'rib and in the cities. Both have an
obvious motive: the long-running border dispute in the case of the Saudis, and the
publicly-declared aim of bringing down the government in the case of Islah. The Saudi
ambassador in Yemen categorically denied that the kingdom had "aided or
instigated" the disturbances, though a number of northern tribal sheikhs are widely
believed to be Saudi clients.
Whatever the truth, the Yemeni government habitually
blames external forces for internal problems. In this instance, the tribes do have a
number of specific demands, including compensation for flood damage three years ago, plus
a reversal of the price increases. In the southern city of Aden there were at least two
explosions within a week near the oil refinery, apparently caused by grenades. Eighteen
people, including fishermen, were taken in for questioning after the first incident, which
a government spokesman said had caused no damage "worth mentioning". However, a
local newspaper claimed that a fuel pipe feeding ships in the harbour had been damaged,
causing extensive pollution.
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BORDER
CRISIS JULY 22: Yemen
says it has re-captured al-Duwaima, the Red Sea island occupied by the Saudis two days
earlier. Officials in Sana'a said Yemeni naval forces landed at dawn on July 22, but later
Saudi Arabia denied the claim.
Yemen's Foreign Minister, Abdul-Qader Bagammal, is said to
be flying to Riyadh "soon" for talks on the escalating border crisis.
According to President Ali Abdullah Salih - in an
unusually outspoken comment on the situation - nine Saudi naval vessels used long-range
artillery to attack and occupy al-Duwaima island on July 20, killing three Yemenis and
wounding nine.
The Saudi attack was perceived by Yemen as highly
provocative, and a breach Article 8 of the 1995 Memorandum
of Understanding between the two neighbours - though later the Saudi Interior
Minister, Prince Nayef bin Abd al-Aziz, claimed his country had acted "in
self-defence".
Although the border dispute has continued for more than 60
years and military incidents are common, Yemeni politicians and officials do not normally
discuss them in public. The fact that the president has spoken out now highlights the
seriousness of the current situation.
PREVIOUS ATTACK
The Yemeni government has still not officially mentioned an earlier incident on May 24-25 when Saudi
forces moved into a Red Sea archipelago which is also claimed by Yemen. At least seven
islands, just over 100 km west of Midi, were involved.
According to the Yemeni opposition newspaper, al-Jamahir,
the Saudis landed on a small island which was undefended by Yemeni troops and cleared off
the eight fishermen they found there. Within 12 hours they began erecting pre-fabricated
buildings and installing military positions.
The newspaper said they had also occupied a second island
in the group and were seeking to evacuate inhabitants from the remainder as a precondition
for talks with Yemeni officials.
Geographical names in the area often have several
variations. Al-Jamahir (May 28) named the occupied island as "Dhu-Hurab", while
the Palestinian newspaper, al-Quds al-Arabi (May 26), referred to it as
"Huraym". This is probably the archipelago marked on some maps as
"Duharan".
THE SAUDIS' AIM
Yemen and Saudi Arabia have been at loggerheads over the
border for more than 60 years. Only a small part of the frontier has ever been defined [click here for background]. The agreed portion
of the land border ends at the Red Sea about 5km north of Midi. Yemen maintains that a
north-westerly bend in the line just before it reaches the sea indicates that the maritime
border should continue in the same direction. The Saudis, on the other hand, prefer to
draw the line in a westerly direction, giving them more of the Red Sea.
The islands occupied last May are south of Yemen's
preferred line - suggesting that the Saudis are staking a claim to their own projection of
the maritime border.
One possible factor in the renewed tension is the choice
of Abd al-Karim al-Iryani as Yemeni
prime minister - since he is disliked by the Saudis. The customary congratulations on his
appointment last May were not forthcoming from Riyadh.
Since late June, there have been numerous clashes between
Yemen's security forces and armed tribes in al-Jawf and Ma'rib - two northern Yemeni
provinces bordering Saudi Arabia. The tribes have blown several holes in a pipeline which
supplies almost 40% of Yemen's oil. There are strong suspicions among Yemeni politicians
that the tribes' action was encouraged, and perhaps funded, by the Saudis.
OMANI BORDER
Saudi Arabi has also informed the United Nations that it
does not accept the border agreement signed by Yemen and its eastern neighbour, Oman, six
years ago. In a memorandum to the UN General Secretariat last April, the kingdom suggested
that it might have a claim to some of the territory covered by the Yemeni-Omani agreement.
The move surprised some diplomats because Riyadh did not
formally oppose the border settlement in 1992. It may be linked to the Saudis' desire for
an oil corridor to the Arabian Sea, between Yemen and Oman.
Oman's foreign minister, Youssef bin Alawi bin Abdullah,
left Saudi Arabia on July 20 after a surprise meeting with Saudi's Crown Prince Abdullah.
Oman had earlier protested about the Saudi attitude, arguing that the 1992 deal with Yemen
and a 1990 agreement with Saudi Arabia had finalised international boundary issues.
In May, Prince Sultan bin Abd al-Aziz, the Saudi Defence
Minister, paid an inspection visit to the border province of Najran, which Yemen ceded to
the kingdom under the Treaty of Ta'if in 1934. Many Yemenis regarded the prince's visit as
provocative.
According to the Ba'athist newspaper, al-Jamahir (July
17), Saudi authorities recently detained a number of Yemenis for 10 days after they
entered the Abha area, which is off-limits to Yemenis. The group were arrested on their
way back after delivering goods and were fined 4,000 Saudi riyals each.
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OIL
RESERVES UP JULY 27: Canadian
Occidental Petroleum has announced significant additions to its reserves in the Masila
block, which it describes as a "world class asset". In a report on July 24, the
company said it had drilled seven successful development wells in the block during the
first half of this year, resulting in the addition of 71 million barrels of proved
reserves. This brings Canadian Oxy's share of proved Masila reserves to 208 million
barrels - a proved reserve life of 5.6 years.
The company added: "We are aggressively expanding the
Masila exploration and development programme ... With the largest exploratory land
position in Yemen, we intend to capitalise on our control of the extensive Masila
infrastructure and extensive knowledge to create further long-term opportunities in this
area."
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YEMENI PROVINCES
RE-ORGANISED JULY 29: The number of
Yemeni provinces will be increased from 18 to 20 under a presidential decreee issued on
July 29.
Parts of the Sanaa, Mahwit and Hajjah provinces will
be combined to create a new province called Amran in the north. In the south, a province
called al-Dali will be created from parts of Lahij, Ibb and Taizz provinces. A
plan to divide Hadramawt province was
recently abandoned in the face of local opposition.
The changes date back to a proposal at the time of
unification in 1990 to "eliminate the effects of the division (of Yemen) and
establish a geographic and demographic balance between the provinces." The decree
requires parliamentary approval. |
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